POR 115-123 OKC, November 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat POR 123-115, but POR's shots were worth 124.0 points to OKC's 121.4.

POR 115-123 OKC, November 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	89	86	95.3	29/37	28.6	115	124.0
OKC	90	98	94.4	25/32	27.0	123	121.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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