PHI 134-142 ATL, November 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHI 142-134, and ATL's shots were worth 153.1 points to PHI's 148.1.

PHI 134-142 ATL, November 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI105102115.932/3832.2134148.1
ATL104111120.931/4132.2142153.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.