CLE 115-117 BOS, November 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat CLE 117-115, but CLE's shots were worth 120.2 points to BOS's 111.5.

CLE 115-117 BOS, November 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE94106109.99/1310.3115120.2
BOS819488.123/2923.4117111.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.