GSW 104-96 NOP, November 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat NOP 104-96, and GSW's shots were worth 120.3 points to NOP's 113.7.

GSW 104-96 NOP, November 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	93	88	103.7	16/20	16.5	104	120.3
NOP	86	71	87.7	25/34	26.1	96	113.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.