MIN 119-115 BOS, November 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat BOS 119-115, but BOS's shots were worth 116.3 points to MIN's 107.8.

MIN 119-115 BOS, November 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN8310392.716/2015.1119107.8
BOS96106104.79/1511.6115116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.