PHX 92-114 HOU, November 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat PHX 114-92, and HOU's shots were worth 103.0 points to PHX's 95.9.

PHX 92-114 HOU, November 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX807980.313/1915.69295.9
HOU889990.215/1712.7114103.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.