MEM 115-125 DEN, November 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat MEM 125-115, and DEN's shots were worth 114.3 points to MEM's 113.8.

MEM 115-125 DEN, November 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	93	102	102.0	13/15	11.8	115	113.8
DEN	91	114	102.8	11/14	11.5	125	114.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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