No. LAL beat UTA 108-106, but UTA's shots were worth 112.9 points to LAL's 111.4.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 94 | 93 | 99.0 | 13/18 | 14.0 | 106 | 112.9 |
| LAL | 86 | 86 | 90.1 | 22/27 | 21.3 | 108 | 111.4 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.