OKC 122-95 POR, November 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat POR 122-95, and OKC's shots were worth 117.4 points to POR's 115.5.

OKC 122-95 POR, November 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	85	105	98.4	17/23	19.0	122	117.4
POR	92	80	99.5	15/21	16.0	95	115.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.