No. BOS beat ORL 138-129, but ORL's shots were worth 120.1 points to BOS's 110.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 88 | 121 | 92.5 | 17/22 | 17.7 | 138 | 110.2 |
| ORL | 100 | 110 | 100.5 | 19/24 | 19.6 | 129 | 120.1 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.