PHI 117-127 MIA, November 23, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat PHI 127-117, and MIA's shots were worth 136.8 points to PHI's 120.2.

PHI 117-127 MIA, November 23, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI98102105.115/1915.1117120.2
MIA98107113.420/3023.4127136.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.