NOP 98-115 ATL, November 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat NOP 115-98, and ATL's shots were worth 119.0 points to NOP's 112.0.

NOP 98-115 ATL, November 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP847892.520/2419.598112.0
ATL90101104.014/1914.9115119.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.