SAS 135-126 ATL, November 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat ATL 135-126, and SAS's shots were worth 130.1 points to ATL's 112.6.

SAS 135-126 ATL, November 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS91113106.722/3023.4135130.1
ATL87118102.28/1310.4126112.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.