MIL 114-123 PHI, November 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat MIL 123-114, and PHI's shots were worth 129.1 points to MIL's 109.9.

MIL 114-123 PHI, November 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	92	104	100.0	10/13	9.8	114	109.9
PHI	97	102	107.4	21/26	21.8	123	129.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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