ORL 129-101 LAC, November 20, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat LAC 129-101, and ORL's shots were worth 123.4 points to LAC's 108.5.

ORL 129-101 LAC, November 20, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ORL94108104.321/2419.1129123.4
LAC898692.515/1915.9101108.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.