No. DEN beat NOP 125-118, but NOP's shots were worth 137.1 points to DEN's 117.6.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOP | 98 | 95 | 113.1 | 23/31 | 24.1 | 118 | 137.1 |
| DEN | 83 | 103 | 95.8 | 22/27 | 21.8 | 125 | 117.6 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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