MIA 110-96 GSW, November 19, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat GSW 110-96, and MIA's shots were worth 120.6 points to GSW's 116.5.

MIA 110-96 GSW, November 19, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	96	91	100.0	19/26	20.6	110	120.6
GSW	95	81	102.1	15/20	14.4	96	116.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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