No. PHX beat POR 127-110, but POR's shots were worth 127.6 points to PHX's 126.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 97 | 94 | 112.3 | 16/20 | 15.3 | 110 | 127.6 |
| PHX | 98 | 108 | 109.0 | 19/22 | 17.1 | 127 | 126.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.