ATL 112-120 DET, November 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat ATL 120-112, and DET's shots were worth 119.0 points to ATL's 105.7.

ATL 112-120 DET, November 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	87	99	93.4	13/15	12.3	112	105.7
DET	83	100	100.4	20/24	18.6	120	119.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.