ORL 121-113 GSW, November 18, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat GSW 121-113, and ORL's shots were worth 123.3 points to GSW's 109.7.

ORL 121-113 GSW, November 18, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	85	94	99.7	27/29	23.6	121	123.3
GSW	78	91	86.0	22/28	23.7	113	109.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.