DET 127-112 IND, November 17, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat IND 127-112, but IND's shots were worth 121.1 points to DET's 115.2.

DET 127-112 IND, November 17, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	88	105	92.2	22/30	23.0	127	115.2
IND	84	79	86.3	33/45	34.8	112	121.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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