No. ATL beat PHX 124-122, but PHX's shots were worth 123.3 points to ATL's 118.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 97 | 104 | 108.0 | 18/19 | 15.3 | 122 | 123.3 |
| ATL | 85 | 104 | 99.8 | 20/24 | 19.0 | 124 | 118.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.