No. DAL beat POR 138-133, but POR's shots were worth 146.0 points to DAL's 137.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 95 | 111 | 107.3 | 27/40 | 29.9 | 138 | 137.2 |
| POR | 113 | 106 | 120.8 | 27/32 | 25.2 | 133 | 146.0 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.