SAS 123-110 SAC, November 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat SAC 123-110, but SAC's shots were worth 113.2 points to SAS's 112.8.

SAS 123-110 SAC, November 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS8710898.515/1814.3123112.8
SAC879496.416/2216.8110113.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.