BOS 121-118 LAC, November 16, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat LAC 121-118, and BOS's shots were worth 121.6 points to LAC's 106.8.

BOS 121-118 LAC, November 16, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOS103108107.813/1713.8121121.6
LAC819082.228/3024.6118106.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.