UTA 122-132 ATL, November 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat UTA 132-122, and ATL's shots were worth 114.3 points to UTA's 113.2.

UTA 122-132 ATL, November 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA9210997.113/2116.1122113.2
ATL9011696.316/2218.0132114.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.