PHX 133-98 IND, November 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat IND 133-98, and PHX's shots were worth 107.0 points to IND's 106.4.

PHX 133-98 IND, November 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX8511186.622/2720.4133107.0
IND887183.927/2922.498106.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.