LAC 116-130 DEN, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat LAC 130-116, and DEN's shots were worth 116.7 points to LAC's 104.0.

LAC 116-130 DEN, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC849888.318/1915.7116104.0
DEN8410188.429/3528.4130116.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.