SAC 100-133 ATL, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat SAC 133-100, and ATL's shots were worth 107.0 points to SAC's 100.6.

SAC 100-133 ATL, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	92	86	87.4	14/18	13.3	100	100.6
ATL	85	115	90.0	18/22	17.0	133	107.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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