OKC 121-92 LAL, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat LAL 121-92, and OKC's shots were worth 115.0 points to LAL's 104.4.

OKC 121-92 LAL, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC8810095.821/2319.2121115.0
LAL777382.319/2822.192104.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.