SAS 120-125 GSW, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat SAS 125-120, and GSW's shots were worth 126.1 points to SAS's 119.2.

SAS 120-125 GSW, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	94	106	106.7	14/16	12.4	120	119.2
GSW	85	93	95.4	32/36	30.6	125	126.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.