NOP 117-125 POR, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat NOP 125-117, but NOP's shots were worth 120.5 points to POR's 108.5.

NOP 117-125 POR, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP9199103.318/2117.1117120.5
POR8310995.216/1713.3125108.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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