MIA 116-130 CLE, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIA 130-116, and CLE's shots were worth 127.5 points to MIA's 103.8.

MIA 116-130 CLE, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	94	105	93.6	11/13	10.2	116	103.8
CLE	104	104	103.5	26/31	24.0	130	127.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.