NYK 107-124 ORL, November 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat NYK 124-107, and ORL's shots were worth 124.3 points to NYK's 116.8.

NYK 107-124 ORL, November 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK888998.018/2318.7107116.8
ORL869697.928/3326.4124124.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.