OKC 126-102 GSW, November 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat GSW 126-102, and OKC's shots were worth 117.9 points to GSW's 103.2.

OKC 126-102 GSW, November 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	83	100	92.2	26/31	25.7	126	117.9
GSW	74	79	80.2	23/29	22.9	102	103.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.