PHI 102-100 BOS, November 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat BOS 102-100, but BOS's shots were worth 116.8 points to PHI's 107.6.

PHI 102-100 BOS, November 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI848692.216/1915.4102107.6
BOS9285101.515/1915.3100116.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.