UTA 113-120 MIN, November 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat UTA 120-113, but UTA's shots were worth 123.1 points to MIN's 108.9.

UTA 113-120 MIN, November 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA9593103.920/2419.2113123.1
MIN899486.826/2822.1120108.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.