PHX 121-98 NOP, November 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat NOP 121-98, but NOP's shots were worth 111.1 points to PHX's 105.2.

PHX 121-98 NOP, November 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	78	97	80.4	24/31	24.7	121	105.2
NOP	83	78	89.8	20/26	21.3	98	111.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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