No. MIL beat DAL 116-114, but DAL's shots were worth 127.0 points to MIL's 120.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 89 | 83 | 96.0 | 31/41 | 31.0 | 114 | 127.0 |
| MIL | 91 | 96 | 102.4 | 20/25 | 17.8 | 116 | 120.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.