CHI 117-121 SAS, November 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat CHI 121-117, but CHI's shots were worth 124.2 points to SAS's 121.7.

CHI 117-121 SAS, November 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI9398105.819/2318.4117124.2
SAS8698100.123/2721.6121121.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.