MIA 140-138 CLE, November 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat CLE 140-138, but CLE's shots were worth 145.2 points to MIA's 128.3.

MIA 140-138 CLE, November 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	98	104	95.8	36/41	32.5	140	128.3
CLE	120	119	124.4	19/27	20.8	138	145.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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