PHI 108-111 DET, November 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat PHI 111-108, but PHI's shots were worth 119.2 points to DET's 112.5.

PHI 108-111 DET, November 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI848496.624/2822.6108119.2
DET829191.120/2821.3111112.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.