ORL 107-111 BOS, November 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat ORL 111-107, but ORL's shots were worth 111.2 points to BOS's 109.4.

ORL 107-111 BOS, November 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	78	77	85.3	30/32	25.9	107	111.2
BOS	85	93	89.2	18/25	20.2	111	109.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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