MIL 115-122 HOU, November 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat MIL 122-115, and HOU's shots were worth 117.1 points to MIL's 107.7.

MIL 115-122 HOU, November 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	79	101	90.8	14/24	16.9	115	107.7
HOU	90	106	100.5	16/21	16.7	122	117.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

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