LAC 103-114 PHX, November 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat LAC 114-103, and PHX's shots were worth 104.3 points to LAC's 94.1.

LAC 103-114 PHX, November 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC779279.911/1814.210394.1
PHX839687.218/2117.2114104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.