DEN 117-100 IND, November 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat IND 117-100, and DEN's shots were worth 130.2 points to IND's 125.7.

DEN 117-100 IND, November 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DEN9398111.719/2318.4117130.2
IND937499.626/3426.1100125.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.