SAS 126-119 NOP, November 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat NOP 126-119, but NOP's shots were worth 120.5 points to SAS's 120.4.

SAS 126-119 NOP, November 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	90	110	106.3	16/18	14.1	126	120.4
NOP	94	105	106.8	14/17	13.8	119	120.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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