SAC 121-116 GSW, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat GSW 121-116, but GSW's shots were worth 110.8 points to SAC's 106.0.

SAC 121-116 GSW, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	83	93	79.5	28/33	26.5	121	106.0
GSW	89	97	92.9	19/23	17.9	116	110.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.