POR 121-119 OKC, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat OKC 121-119, and POR's shots were worth 126.4 points to OKC's 125.8.

POR 121-119 OKC, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR8891101.130/3225.3121126.4
OKC9191100.328/3125.6119125.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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