DEN 122-112 MIA, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat MIA 122-112, and DEN's shots were worth 139.4 points to MIA's 110.6.

DEN 122-112 MIA, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	101	97	116.8	25/28	22.6	122	139.4
MIA	86	90	91.0	22/25	19.5	112	110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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